- Predict.fun acquired Probable after reaching $1.5 billion volume, over 120K users, and more than 3.3 million transactions since December 2025.
- Probable users get 2x USDT fee refunds and a 1:2 points conversion as Predict.fun expands across Asian markets.
Predict.fun has completed a strategic acquisition of Probable, an onchain prediction market platform built on BNB Chain. Probable began as a project incubated by PancakeSwap and YZi Labs. The deal brings Probable’s team and product assets into Predict.fun’s organization as it expands market depth and user reach across the BNB ecosystem.
Since launching, Predict.fun has reported $1.5 billion in cumulative trading volume, more than 120,000 users, and over 3.3 million transactions. The acquisition supports the company’s goal of improving execution efficiency and market architecture while increasing liquidity concentration on a single venue.
.@predictdotfun‘s strategic acquisition of @0xProbable marks the maturation of the prediction market landscape on @BNBChain.
YZi Labs is in support of this strategic move.
Here’s why: 🧵👇 https://t.co/zh1AOZj8D8
— YZi Labs (@yzilabs) March 4, 2026
Additionally, Predict.fun will integrate Probable’s development capacity into its engineering pipeline. The company also intends to extend its DeFi-based yield mechanics for open positions into a multi-source yield engine that can route returns across different venues.
Binance founder Changpeng Zhao launched Predict.fun in late 2025 as a BNB Chain-based prediction market designed to compete with Kalshi and Polymarket. CNF reported that the platform lets users earn yield on staked funds through DeFi integrations, while using BNB Chain for low-cost, fast transactions.
Predict.fun Integration Plans and Migration Terms
Predict.fun’s new acquisition strengthens its alignment with BNB ecosystem teams and application infrastructure. The company expects the integration to support faster iteration on product design, including improvements in market creation and trade execution.
It also expects Probable’s presence in key Asian markets to strengthen distribution, with community onboarding designed to add participation and order flow in those markets.
For existing Probable users, the transition will follow a guided migration process. The company does not expect immediate changes to user accounts or open positions during the initial phase. Predict.fun will also publish detailed instructions for claiming rewards and completing migration steps.
The announced reward structure includes a fee-return program and a points conversion plan. Predict.fun will reimburse all USDT trading fees paid on Probable at 2x value this week. Probable Points will convert to Predict Points at a 1 to 2 ratio.
In a recent report, we covered that BNB Chain is set for 2026 DeFi and AI-ready use cases following major 2025 network upgrades. The CNF report noted that fees fell about 98%, block times dropped to roughly 0.75 seconds, and daily active users reached about 4.8 million in December last year.
At the time of reporting, BNB traded at $649 after gaining 3.66% over the past 24 hours. The market capitalization stood at $88.59 billion, while 24-hour trading volume reached $1.82 billion.
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