The newest story circling crypto claims that quantum computing is suddenly a threat to Bitcoin. Some say this fear explains why the price dropped from just under 100 into the low 80s. However, this does not add up. We have seen dips before, and every big pullback always comes with a dramatic excuse. One cycle it was China bans. Another cycle it was war headlines. Then it was whales dumping. Now it is quantum computing breaking the blockchain. It is the same rotation of fear dressed up differently each time.
Why I Don’t Believe the Quantum Computing Story
The truth is simple. Market makers pushed the price down, liquidated retail, and then attached a story afterward. Narratives do not cause moves. Narratives justify moves that already happened. When everyone repeats the same explanation, it is usually the wrong one. The quantum computing angle is just another convenient label attached to a normal cycle correction. The real drivers are liquidity, leverage, and positioning, not futuristic science panic.
Stepping Aside Before the Drop
We sold a good amount before August and went on a seven-week family trip through Asia. Meanwhile, everyone insisted Q4 would explode upward. Could it have happened? Sure. But when retail becomes certain, the opposite usually plays out. That is how market makers work. Build excitement, then pull the rug, liquidate the crowd, and reload at a discount.
The Bloomberg Quote That Aged Well
In early October, while people screamed for alt season, I said the following in Bloomberg:
“The problem with alt coins is, yes, they can go up more. But they can go -50% in a day or -90% in a week. I am not going to play that game with my portfolio late in the cycle when the odds keep increasing that the end is here.”
I sold all my alts, including ETH. The lesson is clear. Do not follow noisy crowds. They cheer at the top and panic at the bottom every cycle. And don’t forget we’ve been discussing risk management and potential tops since the summer.
Why the Quantum Computing Fear Is Nonsense
Let’s actually address quantum computing. The fear claims that Bitcoin’s cryptography is at risk. But here is the reality:
Quantum computing is nowhere near capable
Breaking Bitcoin would require millions of stable qubits with error correction. Current machines have a few hundred noisy qubits. The gap is massive and not closing anytime soon.
Bitcoin will adapt if it ever becomes relevant
Cryptography evolves. Networks upgrade. The internet updates security standards constantly. Bitcoin and other chains can do the same.
We heard this identical quantum computing narrative in 2021
Same headlines. The exact same drama. And the same timelines. Nothing happened then, and nothing is happening now.
Why Market Makers Love Quantum FUD
Quantum computing fear works because:
• it sounds technical
• most people cannot evaluate it
• it feels futuristic
• it creates hesitation
And while retail hesitates:
• liquidation engines run
• leverage resets
• positions rotate
• strong hands accumulate
This is not about quantum physics. It is about emotional liquidity harvesting.
Related: Ethereum Outlook Q4.
The Real Target Is Your Psychology
If quantum computing were powerful enough to break Bitcoin, it would also break:
• banks
• governments
• military systems
• authentication networks
• financial infrastructure
Crypto would be the least of the world’s concerns. So no, Bitcoin is not collapsing because of quantum computing breakthroughs.
So What Now?
Stay calm. Stay rational. Ignore fear headlines. Focus on market structure, not storylines. Each cycle follows the same playbook. First hype. Then overconfidence. Wait for the inevitable flush. Then patience gets rewarded again.
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My Trade
For my own trade, I think the move into the low 80s is deep enough to start adding a little spot BTC again. I am not touching alts yet, and I stay far away from memes for now. However, if someone insists on gambling with alts, I would probably look at the flavor of the week coins that were strong before the dip. Those usually front-run the next bounce. Think names like XPL, Aster, and HYPE. They showed relative strength before the flush, and those types often lead when the market stabilizes. Still, I am not using leverage here. For that, I want confirmation that BTC has formed a real bottom. Spot building is fine at this level. I may add 10–15% of my liquidity back into BTC and then wait to see how the price action develops. On the higher timeframe, looking at candlesticks, BTC has printed a hammer on the daily chart, and volume is ticking up again. I want to see a daily green candle today to consider a long entry, ideally above 86.5k. If we close a daily above 87.5k this weekend, I will long it and target a move toward 97–100k.
Final Thoughts
Quantum computing makes great headlines. But it is not the reason Bitcoin dropped. It will not break the blockchain anytime soon. And when the day eventually comes that it matters, Bitcoin will evolve. The real danger is emotional trading, not quantum computing. Stay focused. Stay strategic. And trade what the chart confirms, not what the crowd fears.
If you enjoyed this blog, check out our guide to risk management.
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