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Could a Revival in Open Interest Launch 50% Rally?

By WebDeskJanuary 2, 20263 Mins Read
Could a Revival in Open Interest Launch 50% Rally?
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Ripple’s XRP token had one of its best years in 2025. The fintech company settled its lawsuit with the US SEC, leading to a substantial increase in investor sentiment. XRP went on to hit a new all-time high of $3.65 in July 2025, but has since fallen back to under $2. Entering 2026, Open Interest in XRP is at a six-month low. Fortunately, the asset has already gone up in the past week, signaling bullish momentum in the new year.

Should 2026 bring an uptick in open interest for the Ripple cryptocurrency, XRP’s price could follow that path. However, at present, that path is steep. According to Glassnode data, XRP balances on exchanges have dropped to their lowest level in 8 years. Supply held on exchanges has fallen to 1.6 billion XRP, down by 57% since October. It suggests that investors are moving their assets for long-term storage or custody rather than putting them for sale.

Currently, buyers are attempting to defend XRP’s $1.9 price level. If they manage to do that, the price could move higher toward the 50-day moving average around $2.04 and later test the $2.2 resistance level. Sellers are likely to strongly defend that level, as a clear break above it could signal a shift in trend and open the door for a rally toward $3, resulting in a 50% surge.

Also Read: XRP Price Prediction For 2026 Shaped By Morgan Stanley & Kendrick

Furthermore, a recent buy signal is emerging on Ripple XRP’s price chart that could pump the asset’s open interest. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez on X revealed on XRP’s charts that the TD Sequential just flashed a buy signal on a more macro scale. The TD Sequential is a technical indicator that shows the underlying asset’s exhaustion in either direction and could predict a price reversal. With XRP just a hair under $2, reclaiming that value could be the start of a run for the altcoin of up to 50%.

XRP also saw the launch of several spot ETFs in 2025, marking a substantial milestone in the asset’s journey. These ETFs are expected to perform well in 2026, which could further pump XRP’s price. ETFs have played a vital role in the 2025 market cycle. Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) both hit new peaks in 2025 thanks to increased ETF inflows. Already, spot XRP ETFs have attracted $1.14 billion in net inflows as of December 26, according to on-chain analysis platform SoSoValue. Institutional participants view this participation as validating XRP’s role in cross-border payments

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