HBAR Price Prediction: Hedera Targets $0.16 Recovery Despite Technical Headwinds

HBAR Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $0.095-$0.10
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.12-$0.16 range
• Bullish breakout level: $0.10
• Critical support: $0.088

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Hedera

While specific analyst predictions from major KOLs are limited in recent trading sessions, published forecasts from earlier this year remain relevant. According to Blockchain.News and TheCryptoSteer reports from January 2026, analysts were targeting $0.16 for HBAR during the first quarter.

However, with HBAR currently trading at $0.091237 as of February 12, 2026, the token has struggled to meet these bullish projections. On-chain data suggests mixed sentiment, with trading volume remaining steady at $14.3 million on Binance spot markets, indicating maintained interest despite price consolidation.

HBAR Technical Analysis Breakdown

Hedera’s current technical picture presents conflicting signals that traders need to carefully consider for any HBAR price prediction.

RSI Analysis: The 14-period RSI sits at 41.59, placing HBAR in neutral territory but leaning toward oversold conditions. This suggests potential for a bounce if buyers step in near current levels.

MACD Signals: The MACD histogram shows 0.0000, indicating bearish momentum has stalled but hasn’t yet turned bullish. The MACD line at -0.0058 remains below the signal line, confirming the ongoing bearish trend structure.

Bollinger Bands Position: HBAR trades at 0.37 within the Bollinger Bands, closer to the lower band ($0.08) than the upper band ($0.11). This positioning often precedes mean reversion moves toward the middle band at $0.10.

Moving Average Resistance: Multiple moving averages create overhead resistance – SMA 20 at $0.10, SMA 50 at $0.11, and significantly, the SMA 200 at $0.17, highlighting the distance to long-term bullish territory.

Hedera Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

If HBAR can reclaim the $0.10 resistance level with strong volume, the Hedera forecast becomes more optimistic. Key upside targets include:

• Immediate target: $0.11 (SMA 50 resistance)
• Medium-term goal: $0.16 (analyst targets from January)
• Bullish confirmation: Daily close above $0.10 with RSI breaking above 50

The bullish case relies on HBAR breaking through the cluster of moving average resistance levels, which could trigger algorithmic buying and momentum acceleration.

Bearish Scenario

Failure to hold current support levels could lead HBAR toward more significant downside:

• Immediate support test: $0.088 (intraday low)
• Critical support: $0.08 (Bollinger lower band)
• Extended decline target: $0.07-$0.075

Risk factors include the bearish MACD configuration and the significant gap between current prices and the 200-day moving average, suggesting the long-term trend remains challenged.

Should You Buy HBAR? Entry Strategy

For traders considering HBAR positions, the current technical setup suggests a wait-and-see approach:

Conservative Entry: Wait for a clear break above $0.10 with volume confirmation before entering long positions. This would signal the beginning of bullish momentum and improve risk-reward ratios.

Aggressive Entry: Current levels around $0.091 offer entry opportunities for risk-tolerant traders, with tight stop-losses below $0.088 to limit downside exposure.

Stop-Loss Strategy: Any position should include stops below the $0.08 Bollinger Band support to protect against extended declines.

Position Sizing: Given the mixed technical signals, conservative position sizing is recommended until clearer directional bias emerges.

Conclusion

The HBAR price prediction for February 2026 remains cautiously optimistic despite current technical headwinds. While analyst targets of $0.16 appear ambitious given current momentum, Hedera’s neutral RSI and proximity to Bollinger Band support suggest potential for recovery.

The key catalyst for any bullish Hedera forecast will be reclaiming the $0.10 resistance level, which could unlock moves toward $0.11-$0.16 over the coming weeks. However, failure to hold $0.088 support could extend the correction toward $0.08 or lower.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are speculative and based on technical analysis. Digital assets carry significant risk, and past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and never invest more than you can afford to lose.

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